JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
The title link is self explanatory but I am sure we would all be happy to forego our medicines if it prevented even a gram of CO2 from escaping and wreaking havoc on the planet
https://dailysceptic.org/2025/02/02/no-laughing-matter-as-net-zero-nutters-target-your-anaesthetics-and-painkillers/
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Annual fossil fuel CO2 output is now 1% of atmospheric CO2, up from 0.03% in 1900. And that is 1/50th of what is dissolved in the vast oceans. It is also up to 25% of what is freely absorbed and emitted by the oceans each year. Fish breathe. All living things breathe out CO2. And must be eliminated. Lignin eating Termites and cellulose eating herbivores also output methane, so they have to go too.
The world’s fossil fuel CO2 is adding 1/5000th total free CO2 annually. Very scary. And fossil fuel CO2 in the atmosphere in rapid transit is 2% of total atmospheric CO2, as it was in 1958.
But really isn’t it time to worry about fossil fuel H2O producing rising ocean levels? H2O after all kills thousands of people a year. It is the real killer, not CO2. Time to implement nett zero H2O and reduce water consumption.
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> isn’t it time to worry about fossil fuel H2O producing rising ocean levels?
Chuckle. Also, why aren’t the alarmists panicking about the atmospheric effect of fossil fuel produced atmospheric H2O? After all, isn’t H2O also a potent greenhouse gas?
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Also, what about hydrogen produced atmospheric H2O, if hydrogen really takes off, which it won’t, a lot of water vapour is emitted, which is a known greenhouse gas.
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A much stronger greenhouse gas. CO2 has such a narrow absorption band it is used to measure CO2. H2O is 25x to 100x the concentration over most of the planet.
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“CO2 has such a narrow absorption band it is used to measure CO2”
Did you mean H2O.
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No, I have read that CO2 detectors shine a light at the specific 4.26 micron wavelength CO2 absorption peak to measure the amount of CO2. “The decrease in transmitted infrared light is proportional to the CO2 gas concentration”
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A very long and thoughtful article
https://dailysceptic.org/2025/02/02/towards-post-totalitarianism-in-the-west-some-warnings-from-the-east/
We are certainly far less free than we were even 10 years ago. The Young often seem to endorse the notion of dictatorships, are happy to cancel those they don’t like the views of and even prevent meetings taking place at Uni’s where they don’t agree with the speakers.
Difficult to see how we get out of this unless Trump-knowing the ropes now-is more successful in clearing out the swamp than he was first time round.
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He just closed the 40 year old USAID department and its $US40Bn budget. Only 10% helps countries. The 90% is used openly to push Globalist agendas and disrupts foreign countries. The employees have been told not to come into work and have no access to their computers. The US is printing money for useless departments like this.
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Elon Musk on USAID .
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/02/here-we-go-usaid-headquarters-shut-down-trump/
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If you go to http://usaid.gov you get a message that “this site can’t be reached”.
TRUMP doesn’t mess around.
It’s already gone.
Next!
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The same observation could made of their ABC, their BoM and their CSIRO. These groups do not work in the interests of Australians. They are self-serving spinners of propaganda.
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Worse than that, they don’t do their jobs. Paying a total of $2.5Billion a year for people who pretend to work on behalf of the taxpayers is absurd. Where is the quantitative measure of their job performance? And the quality of their advice? They are fundamentally unaccountable and irresponsible which in Socialist money grabbing language is translated to ‘independent’.
Sell them all. And if they are worthless, they are.
140
“post totalitarianism”.
It occurred to me as I watched Trump postponing tarriffs on Mexico that his bluster is speaking the language of the Modern {educated) Man, addressing the Modern (educated) Man.
The Modern (educated) Man should soon get the message.
80
Head line reads “Trump does backflip on tariffs with Mexico Canada.
In reality of course Trump has got what he wanted i.e. help from these countries to control illegal entry into the U.S., so he hasn’t done a “backflip” he has succeeded in getting what he wanted.
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Phased in ‘newspeak’ which makes villains out to be victims.
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Exactly, his intention is not to damage or hurt anything/anybody, but to get the cooperation he needs. The art of the deal – but the idiots from the MSM are either too stupid to see it or deliberately misreport.
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The more “human rights” we supposedly have the less freedom we actually enjoy.
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Lets hope that Starmer keeps his head down if Trump imposes tariffs on the EU
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250202-eu-vows-firm-response-if-trump-unleashes-tariffs
He is an EU fanatic though but surely even he has got the political sense to keep clear of this. The UK has a substantial deficit on goods with the US so shouldn’t be in the first line of any tariffs.
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The tariffs are already there. At 2% for EU Cars for example. But the EU has a 10% tariff on US cars. Why? It’s a 5:1 imbalance and that needs recognition and explanation. The war was 80 years ago. Europe does not need preferential treatment. All of the economic and social problems of modern Europe, including immigration, manufacturing and energy are their own doing through an endless series of leftist governments. And lack of responsibility while preaching socialism, lack of borders and Green Woke policies. And for 200 years as always, you can blame the French.
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Depends if there is anything domestically that he needs to distract from
21
Similar to Australia. We have a trade deficit with the USA and a Free Trade Agreement that has been going foe 20 years now.
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All US administrations, including Trump 45 and 47 have been friendly to us and it would need a stupidity only Rudd or Albo are capable of to cause a rift.
Our FTA with the US is weighted in their favour: Australian exporters can export 448,214 tonnes (combined AUSFTA and GATT) to the US at a zero tariff rate through these quotas.
That is NOT free trade so why would they blow it up?
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Surely Starmer will show political sense, Tony?
https://x.com/holte/status/1816916692037210461
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A lack of accountability doesn’t dampen the desire for accountability. An Australian documentary calling for arrests:
https://rumble.com/v6ej13d-live-stream-of-new-australian-film-witness-statement.html
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The bloke in this video says the broken tree is a clear effect of climate change.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c07k52rrz9vo
Even though it has clearly broken at a major pre-existing structural defect/rot obvious in the broken pieces and clearly visible in the picture before it fell here.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce3n2qkkd9eo.amp
Brain-dead BBC.
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Every once in a while, a tree falls. Who knew?
Did anyone hear it? {Me: I’m good with the ones that fall, so I don’t have to cut them (always a bit dangerous) when making firewood.}
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Big Pharma Lobbying –
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Lobbying.Votes_.jpg
Medical insurance and pharmaceutical companies are predatory. The number one cause of bankruptcy in the United States is health care. This is a growing concern as our population ages. Unfortunately, we have all lost someone to cancer. A troubling but important statistic from the American Journal of Medicine explains that 42% of cancer patients will lose their entire life savings within the first two years of treatment.
The total cost of cancer care in America reached an estimated $183 billion in 2015. Ten years later, that figure is set to rise by 21% to $222 billion. Different cancers require different treatments. The US currently allows Big Pharma and insurance companies to charge and cover what they see fit. CAR T-cell therapy, for example, treats lymphoblastic leukemia but can cost up to $475,000 per patient. Kimmtrak treatment for melanoma could cost $975,520. T-cell lymphoma patients could pay $842,585 for Folotyn treatments. The costs are simply astronomical, as are the profits for Big Pharma.
Mote at –
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/corruption/big-pharma-lobbying/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=Email&utm_campaign=RSS
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This is only going to get worse because average life expectancy is increasing. By the standards of 1900, 2/3 of the planet has outlived average life expectancy. And natural selection is not working once you get life expectancy passing child bearing age. So we are depending more and more on modern medicine and pharmaceuticals and surgery to extend life.
Few people are alive today past 40 without medical intervention and antibiotics and now anti cancer drugs. Successful major transplants are amazing but costly. Dental alone has changed quality of life completely. Henry VIII may have changed history but his broken leg never healed properly. The evolution of health care as affordable is a huge issue which will only worsen as populations age. People are going into incredible old age today who would not have survived a century before. Who pays? And how much?
Even when you look at the 8 billion people on the planet, 2/3 would not have survived in 1900. So we are in uncharted waters, especially if the older 1/3 cannot work, and cannot fund their own quality of life and medical and dental care.
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“Who pays? And how much?”
The sick person pays, its as simple as that. Its madness trying to get fit young people to pay over their earnings for unfit old people, its a way to kill any society.
Get the Govt out of health care completely- no registration of doctors, no paying for medicines, no owning hospitals… individual health is none of their concern, AND give us our taxes back that they waste at the moment on their broken health system & NDIS.
The individuals can invest that money in health insurance if they want, or a boat, or a new car or trip overseas.. Whatever is important to them and gives them the most pleasure. When you run out of money, you die, but you had a great life!
This would also kill Big Pharma stone dead and see a vast revival in what is called folk medicine. You could have witch doctors or just witches keeping you healthy, whoever you trusted. Certainly I’d expect people to suddenly take an interest in what they eat, …well, the survivors anyway.
Its a vast house of cards we have built, all the time knowing it cannot continue past some point, just like the debt countries are accumulating. It will all end in tears…
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Hopefully RFK Jr will reduce medical costs in the US by allowing the testing and possible repurposing of out-of-patent drugs which may be effective against certain cancers such IVM and fenbendazole, for example. Or even simple measures known to improve general health such as correction of common Vitamin D deficiency.
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You need to replace “allowing testing” with “funding testing”. Wild horses couldn’t drag “the industry” to repurpose out of patent drugs.
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Here’s our problem in several subheadings from todays Australian. And Spooners cartoon “The Holy Wail” tops it off
Anthony Albanese’s assessment that Labor’s management of living standards has been going according to plan is a political chimera.
Albanese’s reasons to be cheerful may fall on deaf ears
Bowen insists hydrogen pipe dream is alive
Tough business on reality road: Inflation has cafes running on empty
The pressure of high interest rates, soaring energy prices and persistent inflation are making it all too much even for small businesses doing well.
Zealots of net zero steer us ever closer to energy disaster
The air is going out of the net-zero tyres across the world. To be sure, they are not completely flat, but broadbased government and corporate support for achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 or some other date is fading.
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The same applies here in Australia. It costs too much to maybe save too little
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/02/03/california-blows-it-again/
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https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/02/01/how-the-green-energy-narrative-confuses-things/
“Conclusion
It is becoming increasingly apparent that wind, solar and batteries when pursued at high penetration levels result in high costs, lower reliability and poorer operational outcomes. Expectations from the green energy narrative and real-world results are not consistent and this gulf will continue to widen as long as policy makers continue to reflexively buy into the green energy narrative.”
50
Video:
TRUMP orders DEI mural painted over at FBI. Commentary by Liberal Hivemind.
https://youtu.be/Xr0CHJQL2BI
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Video:
Liberal Hivemind talks about TRUMP and restrictions by the Demonrats of people rebuilding in Commiefornia.
https://youtu.be/6icFjvQBUEE
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David, isn’t it great to watch the Demorats writhe and squirm while they witness the dissolution of their empire and funding sources disappear before their eyes and realise they’re unable to stop the process. It must be like standing in quicksand waiting it to reach vital organs. It’s already up to their “wastes”. Mexico has already acquiesced and Canada is waving their hands like a drowning man. The reopening of Guantanamo is causing a mass self deportation of alien criminals that has already eased the danger to Patriots.
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Video:
Benny Johnson talks about the tragic Washington DC plane crash and DEI involvement with the pilot, who as a military officer was also a White House aide for Biden, thus not a full time pilot.
Also, apparently the unusual delay in releasing her name was so that all her social media accounts could be deleted by her family. Her social media showed an extreme Leftist bias and TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome).
https://youtu.be/jh2u8LQ6y7k
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Also see video and comment I posted at https://joannenova.com.au/2025/02/monday-91/#comment-2828403
Note that disasters don’t normally happen for just one reason. Critical systems are designed to cope with one or even a few errors.
Disasters occur when there are a multitude of errors, simultaneously.
91
So, once again Trump has nailed it, despite the wailings of the leftist clowns.
91
The helicopter was supposed to be at 200ft it was at 380ft.
That’s about all you need to know, when you fly fear of hitting the ground is real and she drifted up to 380ft.
The goal is to trust your instruments.
DEI was part of this for sure.
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And she was off the designated flight path, which brought the defined fixed landing path of the jet lower. Both are unforgivable deliberate errors and the entire cause of the crash in an area around an airport with three active runways where extreme caution is essential. There is no excuse.
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Suicide? Looking at the social circle (High powered Dr Father, Biden admin aide) and recent changes that would have stymied her “Career” as a pilot (soon to be medical student), flying 500 kmh (closing speed) into a jet head on for 60 seconds without dodging is suicidal behaviour. The ATC was not properly staffed and did not direct correctly avert this. Donald Trump knows. He will have a job to MAGA by obliterating DIE and “affirmitive action”- but America will still be left with aging infrastucture and demographic decline. Remember a headline argument in pandering to people on the TQI+ end of the rainbow is to prevent their suicide. The reversal of DIE will be spectacular.
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I am puzzled. Surely the helicopter has a collision warning system?
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I don’t think military helicopters have such TCAS (traffic collision avoidance system) systems because they fly in formation routinely, which TCAS would interpret as an imminent collision.
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Every aircraft has a transponder. The calculation of the vector and speed of nearby craft should be child’s play. A collision with another helicopter is just as deadly. But they could filter out other members of the group as and when required. It’s really simple to compute. I worked on avionics decades ago on F111s which could fly up a cliff automatically. With what they have today in CPUs, this is a no brainer. There’s nothing to stop a pilot risking lives, but there should be a warning. The black boxes will have recorded it.
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“Suicide? ” Maybe… who did she get rid of on the plane she crashed into? I know there were a couple of Russians on board.
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Despite 3 sets of eyes in the cockpit, can you call it that with a female pilot?, no one spotted the airliner they ran into.
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I am not sure about the helicopter, but they (the US Transportation Safety Board) did say the airplane had TCAS. Also, they said the TCAS avoidance commands are disable below 1000 feet, however they would get a “Traffic” alert and I believe that warning was heard on the Airplane’s Cockpit Voice Recorder, and they appeared to have tried to climb but it was too late to avoid the Helicopter. The last I heard, they had not yet recovered the data from the Helicopter’s Cockpit Voice Recorder or Data Recorder and the Helicopter’s altitude data came from radar. The Helicopter did report to the Traffic Controllers that they had the airplane in sight and had requested and been granted the responsibility for visual separation by the controllers. I have heard speculation from some pilots that they think the helicopter pilot actually saw the plane behind the one they eventually crashed into.
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That sounds right. But from the story of one military helicopter pilot who routinely flew that exact route, the error in double altitude and position is unbelievable. It has to be explained.
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“the error in double altitude and position is unbelievable. It has to be explained.”
I agree. One possible explanation I have heard is that the Pilot(s) had not set its altimeter correctly prior to their flight. That information would be supplied by the Automatic Terminal Information Service (ATIS) or by the controller. If that is true, it could explain why the helicopter was higher than the pilot thought it was and also why the radar would show them at 200 feet as that data would come from the helicopter’s transponder which in turn is supplied by the Helicopter’s altimeter.
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Just to complicate things for all…
AT&T and Verizon give FAA another year to remedy C-band 5G interference issues
Altimeters have been at the heart of the tussle over the rollout of C-band 5G around airports. Airlines have been worried that, because C-Band frequencies are close to ones used by some altimeters, they could create interference. That could cause a plane’s landing system to misinterpret the distance to the ground with potentially disastrous consequences.
https://www.engadget.com/faa-c-band-5g-verizon-att-airports-altimeters-183206836.html
Knowing how slow big organisations move…….
10
I would not have allowed only 180ft clearance. Surely that would not even be enough to avoid turbulence at a very low height.
00
We deserve better psyops
00
Rafe Champion mentioned yesterday the work I’ve done in the wind generation space. I responded in depth but lost the whole comment, so this is basically the response to that.
Thanks again Rafe.
Sometimes, you don’t understand why some things happen.
I had been ‘doing’ the wind data for more than two years on a daily basis, and using Andrew Miskelly’s wonderful Aneroid site.
When I did notice it that first time, I thought it was coincidence, so let me show you why I was in fact lucky to even see it in the first place, and it was just a matter of (probably also lucky as well) ‘placement’ at Andrew’s site.
Here’s the link to the Wind section at Andrew’s site, and here I have purposely selected a day of low power generation to emphasise my point here, and this day is January 20, so it’s only 15 days ago.
When the link opens you’ll see the wind energy graph, and first thing, click on MW at the top right of the graph, and this now shows wind generation in MW output across the day.
Now notice almost immediately to the right of the graph is the Synoptic Chart for the same day.
Notice the date stamp on that Chart, and it’s the same time as the low point for power generation on the wind graph. See that huge High Pressure system in The Bight, and that there are no Isobars shown in that area I mentioned, and it’s all the one pressure covering virtually all the AEMO coverage area.
Now, when I first noticed this back in 2020, it was on a day of falling wind generation and it had reached the low point and had started to rise slowly again. I could see the low point on the graph, and note the time. Now I don’t know why, but I looked across at that Synoptic Chart, and noticed the time when that chart was date stamped was the same as for the low point of wind power generation.
I thought coincidence until I looked closely. A huge High Pressure weather system was hovering over that area in the South where two thirds of all Australian Industrial wind plants are located, and that area is the South East of South Australia, and Central Western Victoria. So I flicked back to the day before when wind was at its high point and saw the tight Isobars between the Low and the High Pressure systems. Many Isobars, pressure variance, higher winds. No Isobars, no wind.
Curiouser and curiouser.
Now, luckily, I had each daily image for almost 800 days, so a cursory correlation check at Andrew’s site showed the same thing. Every time wind generation was at its lowest, a Huge High was hovering over that area.
So, now I wrote them all down, and it took weeks looking at each graph and tracing back to the earlier high wind power total, working out times, and power losses over time.
So, then I wrote the Posts, showed images of graphs and corresponding Synoptic charts for a few of them to get the point across, with explanatory text.
Here’s the link to that Post, and at the bottom are links to the charts I made detailing every occurrence going back those 800 days. Two parameters, one for three to eight and a half hours and the second for sustained periods of more than nine hours.
Here, I used 1200MW as the power loss, and in the latter, the largest power loss was 3570MW, and that’s the equivalent of seven large coal fired Units, and if seven large coal fired Units failed at once, you would most certainly hear all about that, you know, umm, their total unreliability and all that!
So, for those power losses over time, and just for those 800 days, there were 106 occasions when it happened, virtually one every eighth day.
I later found that Paul Miskelly had done similar work many years earlier, but I didn’t know any of that.
So okay, having done all this now, and detailed it all in my Posts, even I know that I’m an absolute nobody in this space, finding it and detailing it all.
No one else seems to have found it, and they’re still ‘surmising’ that it might even be curtailment or some other as yet unknown reason. Has NO ONE else seen this?
Oh, and that power loss from just two weeks ago. That low point of 363MW is from a current total Nameplate of 13,460MW, so wind was delivering its power at a Capacity Factor of 2.7%, and that’s
pitiful. The loss of power came in at 3590MW in eleven and a half hours.
And still they keep building them in this area.
Tony.
PostScript: At the same time as I detailed all this for low and no wind situations, I also detailed the same (well, similar) situations for high wind situations when the Isobars are all ‘scrunched together’ and the turbines also turn off as well, (the high wind cutoff speed for the turbines) hence immediate cutting of power from the same wind plants in that area.
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As I said to Rafe yesterday, I believe that we should focus on the very long grid-wide dunkelflautes, say longer than 20 hours. I believe that these will clearly indicate that backup storage is impossible, and that the GenCost figure of two/four hours backup storage is clearly inadequate.
While the full data is interesting, I think that it’s too detailed for the general public, it needs to be simplified.
40
Hi Tony,
I guess you are stating re the inadequacy of battery backups. I agree with you there. I go deep sea fishing as much as I can and only go when there is a high pressure area affecting my locale.
That means no or little wind ie. smoother waters.
During winter the highs move up from the Bight onto the land mass, rendering wind farms even more inefficient than they normally are.
Leftist ideology has really shoved us into a place of darkness. No pun intended.
90
That has happened to me!
It is particularly upsetting if the comment was a long one so I usually give up at that stage.
Usually I am trying to type the comment on my phone. An accidental swipe and the comment is gone.
Here is something that may help retrieve the comment.
Press the lower right of the screen to see all open apps. Sometimes the comment can be found there.
30
Agreed. Not being famous for short comments, I sometimes get a system crash and when I recover, the comment is still there, so there is a backup system active, whether at Jo’s site or on my computer. It’s worth looking.
20
I’ve tried a different approach. When I think my comment is going to be long in words or in time to compose I’ve been creating it in an email, then copying and pasting it into the Jo reply. I’m using an iPad which automatically creates a draft when I do something silly, and I can then go into “Drafts” and retrieve it.
That’s saved me several times, and also allows me to go off and check things when I need to.
10
I do the same using the word processor.
Tony.
20
Hi Tony,
The reason that there is a synoptic chart supplied by Andrew with each day’s wind generation data at anero.id is precisely because we, that is Andrew, Dr Tom Quirk, and I, determined, way back then, around 2009, that the reason for the huge drops in wind output was the frequent passage of large high-pressure systems across Australia.
Your wonderfully detailed work since, and note, folks, that this work is right up to the present day, confirms the conclusions that we reached way back then.
Storage:
In recent months, I have done a study, using real operational AEMO data of course, that shows that the minimum storage requirement for a 100% renewables grid is some 24 days of the average operational demand. That finding is based on an analysis of the last 2 years of AEMO 5-minute data.
That’s right, not 4 hours, 24 hours, but 24 days.
I suspect that if I chose a longer period of operational data, the result would be an even larger storage period.
To put that into some sort of context, without getting into too much detail as to optimal Big Battery charging regimes, requirement for spare batteries, etc., as a first crude approximation,
that storage figure equates to some 25,000-plus Geelong Grid-Scale Big Batteries.
Add to the analysis the required realities of big battery charging, then we can be certain that the number required would be far larger than that 25,000 figure.
Also, in the analysis, I did not include the presently hot-topic item of the requirement for, presuming that it can ever supplied by batteries, synthetic synchronous inertia.
Synchronous inertia is an absolutely essential requirement for the continual maintenance of the operational stability of the grid. If it is possible to provide it from batteries, this is another factor that would add significantly to the battery requirement.
Yet another fact demonstrating the utter futility of pursuing the 100-percent renewables dream.
Once again, thanks Tony for all your work on such as wind droughts.
I was particularly impressed by your recent post that shows how it is that conventional generators, built using large rotating masses, that when operating are all locked in phase at synchronous speed. That this thereby comprises a single huge rotating mass that effortlessly provides, for free, the required synchronous inertia.
Graeme4,
To simplify this long post: 25,000- plus Geelong Big Batteries: it’s utterly impossibile!
Paul Miskelly
90
You’re gonna need a bigger SH2.
10
Just the rotor of a typical 660MW Generator (Turbo Alternator) like say, at Bayswater weighs in the vicinity of 90 Tonnes. (so, umm, 31 Land Cruisers!) So, that weight has to have enough ‘drive’ to turn it over, run it up to speed and then keep that weight rotating at 50 rotations per second, hence a constant 3000RPM. Currently there are 37 such operating generators in lock step across Australia. That’s what Synchronous Inertia is, the reference for every other rotating power generator in the Country, even your pi$$y little solar panel inverter at home. So, just to be able to turn that 660MW generator at that speed, requires a monster multi stage turbine, a shirtload of high temperature high pressure steam, that steam made in a humungous furnace/boiler complex, and the feeding in of (wait for it) ….. 1 tonne of coal crushed to fine talcum powder every, umm, 17 seconds. Stand up straight, and put your arms out in front of you to make a 90 degree angle. Imagine your mirror image doing the same so that you both are just touching fingertips. That space between you filled to your height is that one tonne of coal. Every 17 seconds. 90 Tonnes. 31 Land Cruisers.
Huh! Every so often, it’s worthwhile doing this exercise.
You know how Minister Bowen says that coal fired power is just so unreliable, and cannot be even trusted to deliver power when needed.
Okay there are Only 42 Units in the whole of Australia burning coal to generate power.
Currently, right now, this very minute, of those 42 Units, only a pitiful 37 of them are on line. (Umm, that’s sarcasm people) Five are offline for maintenance, so 10 out of 12 in NSW, 9 out of 10 in Victoria and 18 out of 20 in Queensland are delivering power.
In total, the power being currently being delivered from those 37 Units is 16,700MW, from a total current Demand of 19,000MW.
So those enormously inefficient Units are only just managing, umm, 88% of all the current consumed power.
Tony.
80
Yeah, yeah, I know, brain fade. That’s 88% of just the fossil fuel component of total demand.
Total Demand is currently a whopping 37MW, so coal fired power is only delivering 45% of that demand.
I cannot recall, EVER seeing power consumption that high for the AEMO.
I checked back on total power consumption for the last year, that’s daily power consumption in GWH, and in the last calendar 365 days, there’s only been three days above 700GWH a day, all of them in the last 18 days, and today looks like being bigger even than yesterday, and that was 701GWH.
That’s huge power consumption.
The overnight minimum, at around 4AM this morning was 21.2MW, almost unheard of really.
Tony.
20
GW Tony?
00
G’day Tony. There have been things going on is soggy NQ so I haven’t been watching AEMO. Any idea on the WHY of this recent consumption?
00
Love to see those calculations Paul. Any chance of passing them onto Rafe, then I can retrieve them?
24 day’s backup storage, wow. That’s a lot more than I would have thought.
Any way to get that important figure out into the general press? I think it’s important – it blows the GenCost assumptions totally away.
10
I can’t see where the proponents (religious zealots really) give a wits consideration about whether ‘Net Zero’ is engineeringly feasible.
It’s like trying to explain solar system mechanics to an Aztec priest as your being splayed across an alter to have your beating heart removed.
“Please, please … the Sun will rise right on time tomorrow … I’m a science trained engineer. Look at my calculations. This isn’t helping!”.
Once it was “God will provide”.
Now it’s “Science will provide”.
The previous success of ‘science’ created a social strata of ‘Scientists’, and they transmuted themselves to priests.
Nothing exposed this more than ‘Pandemic’.
You guys do great work, but who is listening?
The sacrificial temple complex has already been built and the unwitting populace has already been prepared for sacrifice.
40
This Thursday, 6th of February, is a public holiday to commemorate the signing of the Treaty of Waitangi between Queen Victoria’s representatives and a bunch of Maori chiefs in 1840. Due to differing translations of the day, every man and his crate of beer has their own interpretation of what was written and meant.
February 6th is also Bob Marley’s birthday 🇬🇳 and as both commemorations occur during what is our high summer, many NZers celebrate with BBQs, swimming, family gatherings and playing dub/reggae music mon.
Except… if you’re climbing Mt Cook, be prepared for “snow showers” and below-freezing temperatures. And if anyone’s keen on climbing Mt Everest, although it’ll be clear, the -35C temp will feel even colder with 130 km/h winds on the summit.
Warming? What warming!
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It is also the anniversary of HM Queen Elizabeth’s accession to the throne in 1952.
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At 1C cooling per 120 metres of altitude, you would expect the peak of Mt Cook at 3724 metres should be roughly 31C cooler than at sea level.
It’s why Antarctica (average height 3200 metres) does not melt. Average in summer -25C and in winter -50C and all the water which falls stays, so it just gets taller.
I am always explaining this to people who ask if the ice ‘cap’ at Antactica will melt. No, it’s not a floating ice ‘cap’. It’s a mountain of solid ice the size of two Australias at the height of Mt Cook. It’s not melting any time soon. All life is on the edges and the Antarctic peninsula which reaches almost to South America.
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It’s also Ronald Reagan’s birthday.
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Report: Climate Change is Causing Aussie Education Standards to Plummet
Essay by Eric Worrall
The CO2 ate my homework…
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/02/03/report-climate-change-is-causing-aussie-education-standards-to-plummet/
My first take on this is that if academic attainment of Australian students is reduced, it is much more likely to be related to the quality of the teaching than to Climate Change.
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And yet almost all buildings in schools are now air-conditioned. Imagine if the best relief available in tropical classrooms was an open window and a ceiling fan.
But to your final point, academic attainment is not a one dimensional issue. It takes an alignment of teachers, curricula, students, family and even societal expectations.
Frankly in today’s world of screens and connectivity, schools do very little other than socialization that could not be achieved by home schooling.
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“But to your final point, academic attainment is not a one dimensional issue. It takes an alignment of teachers, curricula, students, family and even societal expectations.”
You make very good points; I think any of the things you mention are much more likely to affect the academic attainment of Australian students than climate change is.
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Said few times already: to get anywhere close to South Korean academic level we need to halve the number of Universities here.
No need to sack staff or dispose of the buildings, just call them Institutes of Technology, it worked well for the previous generations.
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Oh, BTW !
Stop calling the Uni administrators “Vice-Chancellors”, with an appropriate cut in their unearned wages.
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Wow. Then my generation must be really stupid. We went back to school in February in 100F every day. Not by choice of course but no one had airconditioning. It’s a wonder anyone passed Primary School. Now even the workmen down tools.
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All we had in the late 50’s and early 60’s were open or shut windows, no fans, definitely no aircons.
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I wonder how those very excellent stufents in Singapore ever get so good? battling the heat as they do
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It is a cause of falling standards – because they spend so much time teaching the children lies and fake ‘science’
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…whole “gender fluid” movement goes up in FLAMES
Live out your fantasies in your own private quarters and quit trying to force it all on society while grooming all the children. It’s over. Done. Gender fluidity has gone up in flames, with the flames who thought it all up and shoved it in everyone’s face.
Are you a furry cat or fluffy gay dog? Nobody cares. There won’t be any litter boxes in the school bathrooms anymore, you’ll just have to re-learn how to use a toilet like a normal person does.
https://www.stationgossip.com/2025/02/no-more-trans-new-trump-admin-limits.html
Thanks to all the imaginary genders for stopping by to entertain us, but your time is up now. Don’t come back. Seek help.
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Scientists Produced a Particle of Light That Simultaneously Accessed 37 Different Dimensions
Essentially, an international team of scientists wanted to see how un-classical particles of light could get—and the results were maybe stranger than the authors originally anticipated. This extremely technical experiment produced photons, or particles of light, that existed in 37 dimensions. Just as you and I exist in three dimension—plus an additional temporal dimension—these photons required 37 similar reference points.
“This experiment shows that quantum physics is more nonclassical than many of us thought,” Technical University of Denmark’s Zhenghao Liu, a co-author of the study, told New Scientist. “It could be [that] 100 years after its discovery, we are still only seeing the tip of the iceberg.”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/scientists-produced-particle-light-simultaneously-180000874.html
Iceberg = Black monolith. 😎
In 100 years scientific truths we hold dear now will be laughed at as primitive misconceptions.
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I have heard that there are secret dissident physics conventions around the world – physicists who think the science focus is corrupted with ‘string theory’ and the like….
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How does a tunneling machine work?
https://va.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_sr3drwhcDn1z23obp.mp4
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The disc cutters compress the rock and the rock chips fracture between the cutter kerfs.
For hard rock, fracture toughness is the defining feature of the power needed to tunnel.
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TRUMP is demolishing the Left and their ant-Civilisation agenda day by day.
It took the Left years or decades to build up to non-sensical concepts like having 72+ genders or the Paris Accords or racist and sexist ideas like DEI or corrupt Government Departments like USAID.
TRUMP should give conservatives and other members of the Thinking Community hope that with the right leadership and moral clarity, these things can be dismissed with the stroke of a pen. In an instant. Not months or years.
And the Left will scream and moan like spoiled children and then realise that’s futile and start to behave themselves and get decent, honest and productive jobs.
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“And the Left will scream and moan like spoiled children and then realise that’s futile and start to behave themselves and get decent, honest and productive jobs.”
If only …
They won’t give up so easily I’m afraid. Trump has outsmarted them by moving so fast, so soon, but the resistance will only get stronger in coming months and anti-Trump alliances outside America will get themselves organised. That’s what Starmer, Albanese & co. are banking on. Starmer will be hoping his mates in the EU, IMF, WEF etc will have his back while Albanese will rely on China.
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First peace in Gaza. And in days, Panama, Mexico, Canada have caved without a shot being fired or a tariff being collected. What’s next? Greenland? The Danish have done nothing with it. The big ones are Russia/Ukraine and China. China’s the source of the Fentanyl. But first to clean out the swamp, military and administrative. General Milley was not the only traitor in the army. Plus Trump does not want China using the US military airport on Chagos island, by invitation of Keith Starmer.
How many people even knew Panama was part of China’s Belt and Road? America is a Federation of 50 independent governments. Trump’s job is International as Commander in Chief, not domestic. And he is on top of it. Biden just exploited it for profit, Ukraine and China.
WHO is demanding the world protest their loss of power/cash, just when they were using the next pandemic to assume legal control of all the world’s governments.
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Nothing succeeds like success. The more Trump’s policies succeed, and they will, the more difficult it will be to go back to the failed policies of Big Government Socialism.
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GOSH!!!
This could never happen to The Lucky Country.
Nor NewZild.
Surely?
https://elizabethnickson.substack.com/p/canada-is-a-failed-state-and-mark
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Damm good article!! Could be applied to any country of the West, we are committing world-wide cultural suicide.
Maybe this is what happens to all empires.
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Oh Dear, did I do it again?
Or can some links not be shared?
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Joe Biden signs deal with talent agency – NOT a Babylon Bee meme!
The former president has signed a deal with the Creative Arts Agency (CAA), a Hollywood agency that represents hundreds of celebrities and Hollywood stars.
“President Biden is one of America’s most respected and influential voices in national and global affairs,” Richard Lovett, co-chair of CAA, said in a statement.
“His lifelong commitment to public service is one of unity, optimism, dignity, and possibility,” he continued.
”We are profoundly honored to partner with him again.”
https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2025-02-03/biden-signs-with-hollywood-talent-agency-caa
Either doing adult diaper or Alzheimers ads…
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Promoting ice creams in TV Advertisements.
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“President Biden is one of America’s most respected and influential voices in national and global affairs,”
He clearly hasnt been following events over the last few years
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https://brownstone.org/articles/the-grace-of-dr-jay/
When enough data points tell the same story, we start to call that story a theory, and as someone who quantified the weight of evidence I came to believe the theory of lower-burden outbreak scenarios, such that the pandemic wave would not be as bad, but subsequent outbreak cycles can continue to accumulate hospitalizations and fatalities, all of which needed to be managed prudently with reducing all-cause M&M while not-causing-harm as excellent guiding principles.
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The US Democrat Party has doubled down.
The new chairpersons … male, female, non-binary, (no really, they literally have a formula, and all agreed that Ms. Harris lost ONLY because of racism and misogyny) … have been chosen.
Complete with land acknowledgements.
It’s satisfying to see their completely predictable self-destruction.
Only thing, it was a frightening display of no joke political hysterical mass psychosis.
They are losing political clout, except like a schizophrenic family member, they maintain the ability to ruin the family picnic.
We are going to need a lot more therapists.
Except that the therapists very likely helped create, and are part of the problem.
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If a therapist is under therapy, are they still allowed to “therapise” someone else?
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